Uses Rule 9 from Rainey (2026). The SE and sample size from a pilot study are used to predict the SE of the planned study, with a conservative adjustment for pilot noise.
Examples
from_pilot(se_pilot = 2.13, n_pilot = 85) |>
find_mde(n_planned = 500)
#> -- Power Analysis ------------------------------------------------------
#> Design: balanced, between-subjects
#> Source: pilot data (conservative)
#> CI level: 90% (size-0.05 test of directional hypothesis)
#>
#> Inputs:
#> SE (pilot) = 2.13
#> n (pilot) = 85 per condition
#> n (planned) = 500 per condition (1,000 total)
#>
#> Predicted SE = sqrt(85 / 500) * (sqrt(1/85) + 1) * 2.13 = 0.97 [Rule 9]
#> MDE (80% power) = 2.49 * 0.97 = 2.42 [Rule 5]
#> MDE (95% power) = 3.29 * 0.97 = 3.20 [Rule 5]
#>
#> -- Manuscript sentence (edit as needed) --------------------------------
#> For a balanced, between-subjects design with 500 respondents per
#> condition (1,000 total), using pilot data with a standard error of
#> 2.13 (85 per condition) and a conservative adjustment for pilot noise,
#> the predicted standard error is 0.97. Using a one-sided test at the
#> 0.05 level, the experiment has 80% power to detect a treatment effect
#> of 2.42 units and 95% power to detect a treatment effect of 3.20
#> units.
#>
#> Note: The paper rounds the MDE factor to 2.5 for 80% power and 3.3 for
#> 95% power. This software uses exact values (2.49 and 3.29), so results
#> differ slightly from hand calculations using the rounded factors.
