Research

Research papers by Carlisle Rainey on political methodology, statistical power, hypothesis testing, and survey experiments.

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Working Papers

  • Merely Asking: A Replication of Ahler and Sood (2018)

    Jan 16, 2026. Austin Cutler, Matthew Pietryka, and Carlisle Rainey. Invitation to revise and resubmit at Journal of Politics.
    PDF

  • Lurking for the Common Good: Does Observing Civil Cross-Party Dialogue on Social Media Reduce Affective Polarization? A Registered Report

    Dec 7, 2025. J. Grady Anderson, Miguel Arcero-Miranda, Emma Barrett, Sarah Bhalla, Courtney Boutilier, Emma Clark, Ella Garcia, Holden Mamula, Denise Perez, Francisca Puiatti, Alyssa Robinson, Maria Clara Sandoval Durski, and Carlisle Rainey. Working Paper.
    PDF

  • Power Rules: Practical Advice for Computing Power (and Automating with Pilot Data)

    Mar 5, 2025. Carlisle Rainey. Revised version conditionally accepted at Political Analysis.
    Preprint
    I provide detailed examples with R code in the blog posts Statistical Power from Pilot Data: Simulations to Illustrate and Statistical Power from Pilot Data: An Example

  • Overt Consequences of Covert Actions: Success, Failure, and Voters’ Preferences for Legislative Oversight

    Apr 19, 2024. Caroline Robbins, Alessandro Brunelli, José Castro, Ainsley Coty, Andrew Louis, Bryanna Major, María Alemán Martínez, Yadianis Lara Ojeda, Larissa Pontes, Elke Schumacher, Omer Turkomer, Luzmi Valenzuela, Valeria Veras, and Carlisle Rainey. Invitation to revise and resubmit at Journal of Experimental Political Science.
    Preprint OSF Preregistration

  • Generation Effects on Americans' Symbolic Ideology and Attitudes Toward the Economic Role of Government

    Aug 2, 2023. Robert Jackson and Carlisle Rainey. Working Paper.
    Preprint

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Forthcoming

  • The Data Availability Policies of Political Science Journals

    Jan 12, 2025. Carlisle Rainey and Harley Roe. Accepted at Scientific Data.
    Preprint Dataverse

  • The Dissent Score: Using Events Data to Measure Dissent

    Dec 23, 2023. Carlisle Rainey, Harley Roe, Qing Wang, and Nick Dietrich. Accepted at Journal of Peace Research.
    Project Website Preprint
    The dissent score data set is available on Dataverse.

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Published Papers

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